CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2013-08-30T02:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2013-08-30T02:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/3209/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-09-02T01:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -22
Dst min. time: 2013-09-02T19:00Z
Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-08-31T21:00Z
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note:
:Issued: 2013 Aug 30 1225 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A partial halo CME, associated with a C8.3 flare, was detected by LASCO C2 on August 30th around 02:48 UT. It has an angular width of around 150? and an estimated speed of about 1000 km/s. With this speed, the estimated time of arrival at Earth is on August 31th around 21:00. A second partial halo CME was detected by LASCO C2 on August 29th around 06:00 UT. Most material of this CME is southbound, but a shockwave might arrive on Earth. With an estimated speed of around 430 km/s this shockwave is expected to arrive on September 2d around 20:00 UT. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 60.58 hour(s)
Difference: 28.50 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-08-30T12:55Z
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